Unión Adarve vs Cala Pozuelo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid
The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Cala Pozuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Adarve vs Cala Pozuelo?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Unión Adarve (1,799) and Cala Pozuelo (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Cala Pozuelo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Racing Madrid(home) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Las Rozas(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Villaverde-Boetticher(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | A Madrid III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Alcorcón II(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 4, 2025 | Galapagar(away) | 5-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Torrejón(away) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Adarve | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Cala Pozuelo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Unión Adarve | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 42 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Cala Pozuelo?
- The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Cala Pozuelo.
- Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Cala Pozuelo played?
- Unión Adarve vs Cala Pozuelo is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026FuenlabradavsGalapagar
- Nov 29, 2026Alcobendas SportvsRC Alcobendas
- Nov 29, 2026MóstolesvsSS Reyes II
- Nov 29, 2026Pozuelo AlarcónvsReal Aranjuez
- Nov 29, 2026TorrejónvsLeganés II
- Nov 29, 2026Villanueva PardillovsRayo Vallecano II
- Nov 29, 2026Colonia MoscardóvsTrival Valderas
- Nov 29, 2026Parla EscuelavsLas Rozas