Match

Unión Adarve vs Cala Pozuelo: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, Madrid

Unión AdarveCala Pozuelo

The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Cala Pozuelo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unión Adarve vs Cala Pozuelo?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Unión Adarve (1,799) and Cala Pozuelo (1,707).

Unión Adarve win51 %
Draw25 %
Cala Pozuelo win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Adarve have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Cala Pozuelo have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unión Adarve
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Racing Madrid(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026Las Rozas(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026Galapagar(home)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026Villaverde-Boetticher(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026A Madrid III(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Cala Pozuelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Alcorcón II(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 4, 2025Galapagar(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 27, 2025Torrejón(away)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 17, 2025Trival Valderas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 13, 2025RSD Alcalá(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

How many goals should we expect?

Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cala Pozuelo score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Unión Adarve1.81.166/159/15
Cala Pozuelo1.41.337/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Unión Adarve3415811484253

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unión Adarve vs Cala Pozuelo?
The Footlab model makes Unión Adarve the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Cala Pozuelo.
Where and when is Unión Adarve vs Cala Pozuelo played?
Unión Adarve vs Cala Pozuelo is played on November 29, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Deportivo Municipal Vicente del Bosque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Unión Adarve and Cala Pozuelo

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