Alcorcon vs FC Cartagena: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
The Footlab model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for FC Cartagena. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcorcon vs FC Cartagena?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Alcorcon (1,898) and FC Cartagena (1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcorcon have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Cartagena have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Alcorcon win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 FC Cartagena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | FC Cartagena 2-1 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Alcorcon 1-1 FC Cartagena | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 4, 2024 | FC Cartagena 1-0 Alcorcon | Segunda División |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Alcorcon 0-0 FC Cartagena | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Alcorcon 1-1 FC Cartagena | Segunda División |
| Dec 20, 2022 | Alcorcon 1-1 FC Cartagena | Copa del Rey |
Last archived meeting: FC Cartagena vs Alcorcon on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alcorcon score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cartagena score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorcon | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Cartagena | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcorcon sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (51 points from 38 matches) and FC Cartagena sit 6th (57 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Cartagena | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 57 |
| 11 | Alcorcon | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 44 | 38 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcorcon vs FC Cartagena?
- The Footlab model makes Alcorcon the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for FC Cartagena.
- Where and when is Alcorcon vs FC Cartagena played?
- Alcorcon vs FC Cartagena is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santo Domingo, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.