Gimnastic vs Alcorcon: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Costa Daurada, Tarragona
The Footlab AI model makes Gimnastic the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Alcorcon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gimnastic wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnastic vs Alcorcon?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate Gimnastic (1,849) and Alcorcon (1,930).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gimnastic vs Alcorcon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gimnastic
4-3-3- 17Alex Almansa
- 12S. Bakış
- 20C. Segura
- 8Marc Montalvo
- 16M. Babanzila
- 10Eugeni Valderrama
- 23Manel Royo
- 22Joseda
- 21I. Athuman
- 15José Amo
- 13Vicent Abril
Alcorcon
4-3-3- 9Davo
- 7E. Aparicio
- 11O. Ouhdadi
- 10L. Vacas
- 6Pablo Rivera
- 8T. Caravaca
- 17Miguel Cuesta
- 5Lancho
- 22X. Irurita
- 3Arnau Gaixas
- 13Miguel Bañuz
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnastic have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Alcorcon have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 0-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 4-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(home) | 5-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gimnastic win, 1 draw, 4 Alcorcon wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Alcorcon 3-0 Gimnastic | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Alcorcon 1-1 Gimnastic | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Gimnastic 1-2 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jun 1, 2019 | Alcorcon 0-1 Gimnastic | Segunda División |
| Oct 15, 2018 | Gimnastic 1-3 Alcorcon | Segunda División |
| Mar 25, 2018 | Alcorcon 1-0 Gimnastic | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Alcorcon vs Gimnastic on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnastic score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnastic | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Alcorcon | 1.7 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnastic sit 14th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (8 points from 7 matches) and Alcorcon sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alcorcon | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 12 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Gimnastic vs Alcorcon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnastic vs Alcorcon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gimnastic the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Alcorcon.
- Where and when is Gimnastic vs Alcorcon played?
- Gimnastic vs Alcorcon is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Costa Daurada, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.