Ibiza vs Algeciras: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic, Ibiza
The Footlab model makes Ibiza the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Algeciras. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ibiza vs Algeciras?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Ibiza (1,926) and Algeciras (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ibiza have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Algeciras have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ibiza Islas Pitiusas(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Europa Fc(away) | 2-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 3-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ibiza win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Algeciras win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Algeciras 0-0 Ibiza | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Ibiza 3-0 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Algeciras 0-0 Ibiza | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Ibiza 0-1 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Ibiza 2-2 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Algeciras 0-0 Ibiza | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ibiza score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Algeciras score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibiza | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Algeciras | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ibiza sit 12th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (50 points from 38 matches) and Algeciras sit 8th (55 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Algeciras | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 41 | 55 |
| 12 | Ibiza | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44 | 38 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ibiza vs Algeciras?
- The Footlab model makes Ibiza the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 18% for Algeciras.
- Where and when is Ibiza vs Algeciras played?
- Ibiza vs Algeciras is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Can Misses – Power Electronic, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.