Alcoyano vs Intercity: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Collao, Alcoy
The Footlab model makes Alcoyano the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Intercity. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Intercity?
Alcoyano starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,930 vs 1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcoyano have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Intercity have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Porreres(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Jove Español(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alcoyano win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Intercity win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Alcoyano 2-1 Intercity | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Intercity 0-2 Alcoyano | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 25, 2024 | Alcoyano 1-0 Intercity | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Intercity 1-0 Alcoyano | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Alcoyano 1-1 Intercity | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Intercity 4-1 Alcoyano | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Alcoyano vs Intercity on May 10, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Alcoyano score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Intercity score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcoyano | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Intercity | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alcoyano | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcoyano vs Intercity?
- The Footlab model makes Alcoyano the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 18% for Intercity.
- Where and when is Alcoyano vs Intercity played?
- Alcoyano vs Intercity is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Collao, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.