Deportiva Minera vs Poblense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán, El Llano del Beal
The Footlab model makes Deportiva Minera the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Poblense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportiva Minera vs Poblense?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Deportiva Minera (1,944) and Poblense (1,985).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportiva Minera have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Poblense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eldense B(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | CD Coria(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 31, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 24, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 17, 2026 | Numancia(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Numancia(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Deportiva Minera score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Poblense score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportiva Minera | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Poblense | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Poblense | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41 | 28 | 59 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportiva Minera vs Poblense?
- The Footlab model makes Deportiva Minera the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Poblense.
- Where and when is Deportiva Minera vs Poblense played?
- Deportiva Minera vs Poblense is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Ángel Celdrán, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.