Elche II vs Atlético Baleares: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche), Elche
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Baleares the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Elche II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético Baleares wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elche II vs Atlético Baleares?
Atlético Baleares starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,855).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elche II vs Atlético Baleares
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elche II
4-3-3- 42Héctor Peña
- 35Ali Houary
- FFlavio Dion
- 37Mario
- MMontero
- 18Rubén Saiz
- JJavi Gómez
- VVicente Agulló
- DDiego Rosado
- 43Nico Salvador
- 40Owen Bosch
Atlético Baleares
3-5-2- 23J. Duran
- 20A. Bejarano
- 22U. Taffertshofer
- 8Jofre Cherta
- 6Gerardo Bonet
- 3Iván Serrano
- 2Gabriel Ramis
- 24Alejandro Cea
- 4J. Pol
- 17Guillem Castell
- 13Rivas
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche II have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Atlético Baleares have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Elche II wins, 1 draw, 1 Atlético Baleares win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Atlético Baleares 1-1 Elche II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Elche II 2-3 Atlético Baleares | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Baleares vs Elche II on Apr 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Elche II score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Baleares score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche II | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Atlético Baleares | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elche II sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (7 points from 6 matches) and Atlético Baleares sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Elche II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | Atlético Baleares | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Elche II vs Atlético Baleares?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elche II vs Atlético Baleares?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético Baleares the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Elche II.
- Where and when is Elche II vs Atlético Baleares played?
- Elche II vs Atlético Baleares is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche), in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.