Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Atletico Tucuman the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Aldosivi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman?
Atletico Tucuman starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,861 vs 1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aldosivi have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Atletico Tucuman have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Union Santa Fe(home) | 1-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tigre(home) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rosario Central(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Barracas Central(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Independiente(home) | 4-0 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin(home) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Huracan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(away) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aldosivi win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Atletico Tucuman win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Aldosivi 0-1 Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Atletico Tucuman 2-2 Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 26, 2019 | Aldosivi 3-0 Atletico Tucuman | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 31, 2019 | Atletico Tucuman 1-0 Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 21, 2017 | Atletico Tucuman 0-0 Aldosivi | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Atletico Tucuman vs Aldosivi on Mar 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aldosivi score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Tucuman score 1.2 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aldosivi | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Atletico Tucuman | 1.2 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aldosivi sit 14th in Liga Profesional Argentina (8 points from 16 matches) and Atletico Tucuman sit 13th (14 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atletico Tucuman | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 8 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Tucuman the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Aldosivi.
- Where and when is Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman played?
- Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José María Minella, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 20, 2026River PlatevsHuracan
- Sep 20, 2026Racing ClubvsSarmiento Junin
- Sep 20, 2026Rosario CentralvsArgentinos JRS
- Sep 20, 2026Velez SarsfieldvsTigre
- Sep 20, 2026Belgrano CordobavsEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- Sep 20, 2026Union Santa FevsIndependiente
- Sep 20, 2026LanusvsEstudiantes L.P.