Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón, Avellaneda, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Racing Club the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Sarmiento Junin. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin?
Racing Club starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,919 vs 1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Club have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sarmiento Junin have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 1-0 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Banfield(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tigre(home) | 1-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Rosario Central(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Huracan(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Tucuman(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Banfield(away) | 2-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(home) | 2-3 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Racing Club win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Sarmiento Junin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin 0-0 Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Sarmiento Junin 1-0 Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 5, 2024 | Racing Club 0-1 Sarmiento Junin | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Sarmiento Junin 1-1 Racing Club | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Racing Club 1-0 Sarmiento Junin | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 3, 2022 | Sarmiento Junin 1-1 Racing Club | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Sarmiento Junin vs Racing Club on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Racing Club score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sarmiento Junin score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Sarmiento Junin | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Racing Club sit 8th in Liga Profesional Argentina (21 points from 16 matches) and Sarmiento Junin sit 11th (19 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sarmiento Junin | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 21 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 19 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin?
- The Footlab model makes Racing Club the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 19% for Sarmiento Junin.
- Where and when is Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin played?
- Racing Club vs Sarmiento Junin is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2026Gimnasia L.P.vsBanfield
- Sep 20, 2026River PlatevsHuracan
- Sep 20, 2026Rosario CentralvsArgentinos JRS
- Sep 20, 2026Velez SarsfieldvsTigre
- Sep 20, 2026Belgrano CordobavsEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- Sep 20, 2026Union Santa FevsIndependiente
- Sep 20, 2026LanusvsEstudiantes L.P.
- Sep 20, 2026San LorenzovsBoca Juniors