Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Gimnasia L.P. the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Banfield. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Gimnasia L.P. (1,893) and Banfield (1,813).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia L.P. have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Banfield have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(away) | 1-1 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 0-4 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Barracas Central(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Aldosivi(away) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Midland(home) | 2-2 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Racing Club(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(home) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(away) | 0-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin(home) | 3-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gimnasia L.P. win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Banfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Banfield 1-2 Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| May 26, 2024 | Gimnasia L.P. 3-0 Banfield | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Gimnasia L.P. 1-2 Banfield | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Banfield 2-0 Gimnasia L.P. | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Banfield 0-0 Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Banfield 0-2 Gimnasia L.P. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Banfield vs Gimnasia L.P. on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnasia L.P. score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Banfield score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia L.P. | 1.4 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Banfield | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnasia L.P. sit 6th in Liga Profesional Argentina (26 points from 16 matches) and Banfield sit 12th (18 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnasia L.P. the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Banfield.
- Where and when is Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield played?
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Banfield is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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