Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie, Mendoza, Provincia de Mendoza
The Footlab model makes Gimnasia M. the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo Riestra. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 20, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Gimnasia M. (1,859) and Deportivo Riestra (1,812).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia M. have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Deportivo Riestra have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Talleres Cordoba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Instituto Cordoba(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Union Santa Fe(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 28, 2026 | San Lorenzo(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Central Cordoba de Santiago(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(home) | 1-1 | Copa Argentina |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newells Old Boys(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(home) | 2-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Barracas Central(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gimnasia M. win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Deportivo Riestra win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra 0-0 Gimnasia M. | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 23, 2022 | Deportivo Riestra 0-0 Gimnasia M. | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 18, 2021 | Deportivo Riestra 0-0 Gimnasia M. | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 23, 2021 | Gimnasia M. 1-1 Deportivo Riestra | Primera Nacional |
| Dec 14, 2020 | Deportivo Riestra 1-3 Gimnasia M. | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 7, 2019 | Deportivo Riestra 0-0 Gimnasia M. | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Riestra vs Gimnasia M. on Mar 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnasia M. score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Riestra score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia M. | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Deportivo Riestra | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnasia M. sit 11th in Liga Profesional Argentina (19 points from 16 matches) and Deportivo Riestra sit 15th (11 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gimnasia M. | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Deportivo Riestra | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 19 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra?
- The Footlab model makes Gimnasia M. the favourite at 46%, against 30% for a draw and 24% for Deportivo Riestra.
- Where and when is Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra played?
- Gimnasia M. vs Deportivo Riestra is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Víctor Antonio Legrotaglie, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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