Where and when is Algar vs Santa Cruz played?

Algar vs Santa Cruz is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Algar vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar

Algar

Santa Cruz

The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algar vs Santa Cruz?

Santa Cruz starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,763 vs 1,597).

Algar win31 %

Draw30 %

Santa Cruz win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Santa Cruz have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2024	Plus Ultra(home)	4-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 5, 2024	Bullense(away)	0-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 1, 2024	Alcantarilla(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2024	Cieza(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 21, 2024	El Palmar(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

Santa Cruz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cartagena LU II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 2, 2026	Real Murcia II(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Yeclano II(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	SFC Minerva(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Atlético Pulpileño(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

How many goals should we expect?

Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Algar	1.1	2.3	2	8/15	10/15
Santa Cruz	1.0	1.1	6	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Santa Cruz	34	15	6	13	37	34	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algar vs Santa Cruz?: The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Algar.
Where and when is Algar vs Santa Cruz played?: Algar vs Santa Cruz is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.