Match

Algar vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar

AlgarSanta Cruz

The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santa Cruz wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,542 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algar vs Santa Cruz?

Santa Cruz starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,577).

18%24%58%
Algar winDrawSanta Cruz win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Algar vs Santa Cruz

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Algar

4-3-3
  1. AAdrian Marty
  2. AAlejandro Martin
  3. NNasta
  1. MMichel Vidal
  2. MManuel Rodriguez
  3. SSergio Jiménez
  1. CChiqui
  2. LLázaro Rubio Nicolás
  3. DDani Ruiz
  4. JJuan Gavilánez
  1. GGuillermo Yepes Moreno

Santa Cruz

Not enough data to predict the Santa Cruz lineup.

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:37 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Santa Cruz have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Águilas II(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 24, 2026Mazarrón FC(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 11, 2026San Javier(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 4, 2026Cartagena LU II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 27, 2026Balsicas Atlético(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Unión Molinense(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 24, 2026Atlético Pulpileño(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Oct 4, 2026Alcantarilla(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 26, 2026Águilas II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Sep 20, 2026Mazarrón FC(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

How many goals should we expect?

Algar score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Algar0.92.316/1510/15
Santa Cruz1.41.259/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Algar sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (6 points from 8 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 2nd (15 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Santa Cruz8431141015
16Algar82065166

A question about Algar vs Santa Cruz?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algar vs Santa Cruz?
The Footlab AI model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Algar.
Where and when is Algar vs Santa Cruz played?
Algar vs Santa Cruz is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Algar and Santa Cruz

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