Balsicas Atlético vs Alcantarilla: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, Torre-Pacheco
The Footlab model makes Balsicas Atlético the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Alcantarilla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balsicas Atlético vs Alcantarilla?
Balsicas Atlético starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,699 vs 1,594).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balsicas Atlético have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Alcantarilla have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 4, 2025 | Águilas II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Santomera(home) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Balsicas Atlético win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Alcantarilla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Alcantarilla 0-0 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Balsicas Atlético 2-0 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Alcantarilla 2-1 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Balsicas Atlético 1-0 Alcantarilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Alcantarilla vs Balsicas Atlético on Mar 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Alcantarilla score 0.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balsicas Atlético | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Alcantarilla | 0.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Balsicas Atlético | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balsicas Atlético vs Alcantarilla?
- The Footlab model makes Balsicas Atlético the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Alcantarilla.
- Where and when is Balsicas Atlético vs Alcantarilla played?
- Balsicas Atlético vs Alcantarilla is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.