Los Garres vs Unión Molinense: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Las Tejeras, Murcia
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Los Garres. The most likely score is 1-1. If Unión Molinense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,640 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Garres vs Unión Molinense?
Unión Molinense starts as the favourite with a 235-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,616).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Los Garres vs Unión Molinense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Los Garres
4-3-3- 9J. Fernandez
- 7J. Garcia Belluga
- 21F. Martinez
- 11L. Bernal
- 8P. Martinez
- 14A. Martinez
- 3E. Fugas
- 12K. Ribeiro
- 2E. Varela
- 15J. Martinez
- 1D. Navarro
Unión Molinense
Not enough data to predict the Unión Molinense lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Garres have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Unión Molinense have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santomera(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
How many goals should we expect?
Los Garres score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Molinense score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Garres | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Unión Molinense | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Garres sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (8 points from 6 matches) and Unión Molinense sit 3rd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Los Garres | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
A question about Los Garres vs Unión Molinense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Garres vs Unión Molinense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Los Garres.
- Where and when is Los Garres vs Unión Molinense played?
- Los Garres vs Unión Molinense is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Las Tejeras, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Apr 11, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsSFC Minerva
- Apr 11, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsÁguilas II
- Apr 11, 2027AlgarvsSanta Cruz
- Apr 11, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsAlcantarilla
- Apr 11, 2027SantomeravsEl Palmar
- Apr 11, 2027Bullas DeportivovsBala Azul
- Apr 11, 2027San JaviervsMazarrón FC