Santomera vs El Palmar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera
The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santomera wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,732 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santomera vs El Palmar?
On Elo ratings, Santomera has 1,761 points and El Palmar 1,669.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santomera vs El Palmar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
El Palmar
Not enough data to predict the El Palmar lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 03:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; El Palmar have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Santomera win, 1 draw, 2 El Palmar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Santomera 0-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | El Palmar 2-2 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | El Palmar 2-3 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Santomera 0-2 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santomera vs El Palmar on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; El Palmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| El Palmar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
A question about Santomera vs El Palmar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santomera vs El Palmar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for El Palmar.
- Where and when is Santomera vs El Palmar played?
- Santomera vs El Palmar is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 11, 2027Los GarresvsUnión Molinense
- Apr 11, 2027Olímpico TotanavsAtlético Pulpileño
- Apr 11, 2027UCAM Murcia IIvsSFC Minerva
- Apr 11, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsÁguilas II
- Apr 11, 2027AlgarvsSanta Cruz
- Apr 11, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsAlcantarilla
- Apr 11, 2027Bullas DeportivovsBala Azul
- Apr 11, 2027San JaviervsMazarrón FC