Unión Molinense vs Algar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, Molina de Segura
The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Algar. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,718 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Unión Molinense vs Algar?
Unión Molinense starts as the favourite with a 274-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,576).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Unión Molinense vs Algar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Unión Molinense
Not enough data to predict the Unión Molinense lineup.
Algar
4-3-3- AAdrian Marty
- AAlejandro Martin
- NNasta
- MMichel Vidal
- MManuel Rodriguez
- SSergio Jiménez
- CChiqui
- LLázaro Rubio Nicolás
- DDani Ruiz
- JJuan Gavilánez
- GGuillermo Yepes Moreno
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unión Molinense have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Algar have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Javier(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Unión Molinense win, 0 draws, 1 Algar win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | Algar 1-0 Unión Molinense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Unión Molinense 3-0 Algar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Algar vs Unión Molinense on Feb 25, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Unión Molinense score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Algar score 0.8 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unión Molinense | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Algar | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Unión Molinense sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (11 points from 6 matches) and Algar sit 17th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Unión Molinense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 11 |
| 17 | Algar | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Unión Molinense vs Algar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Unión Molinense vs Algar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Unión Molinense the favourite at 69%, against 20% for a draw and 11% for Algar.
- Where and when is Unión Molinense vs Algar played?
- Unión Molinense vs Algar is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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