Where and when is Algar vs SFC Minerva played?

Algar vs SFC Minerva is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Algar vs SFC Minerva: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar

Algar

SFC Minerva

The Footlab model makes Algar the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for SFC Minerva. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algar vs SFC Minerva?

SFC Minerva starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,697 vs 1,597).

Algar win45 %

Draw29 %

SFC Minerva win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; SFC Minerva have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2024	Plus Ultra(home)	4-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 5, 2024	Bullense(away)	0-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 1, 2024	Alcantarilla(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2024	Cieza(away)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 21, 2024	El Palmar(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

SFC Minerva
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	El Palmar(home)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026	Balsicas Atlético(away)	0-4	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Molinense(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 18, 2026	Santa Cruz(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026	Santomera(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

How many goals should we expect?

Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; SFC Minerva score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Algar	1.1	2.3	2	8/15	10/15
SFC Minerva	0.9	1.3	5	4/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	SFC Minerva	34	11	11	12	28	39	44

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algar vs SFC Minerva?: The Footlab model makes Algar the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for SFC Minerva.
Where and when is Algar vs SFC Minerva played?: Algar vs SFC Minerva is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.