Santomera vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera
The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Santomera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santomera vs Santa Cruz?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Santomera (1,687) and Santa Cruz (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Santa Cruz have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Real Murcia II(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yeclano II(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Santomera win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Santa Cruz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Santa Cruz 0-2 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Santomera 0-1 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz vs Santomera on Feb 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santomera score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santomera | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santomera sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (32 points from 34 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 37 | 34 | 51 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 64 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab model makes Santa Cruz the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Santomera.
- Where and when is Santomera vs Santa Cruz played?
- Santomera vs Santa Cruz is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027Los GarresvsUCAM Murcia II
- Apr 25, 2027Mazarrón FCvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Apr 25, 2027Olímpico TotanavsÁguilas II
- Apr 25, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsEl Palmar
- Apr 25, 2027AlgarvsSFC Minerva
- Apr 25, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsBala Azul
- Apr 25, 2027Bullas DeportivovsUnión Molinense
- Apr 25, 2027San JaviervsAlcantarilla