Santomera vs Santa Cruz: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera
The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Santa Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santomera wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,748 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santomera vs Santa Cruz?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Santomera (1,761) and Santa Cruz (1,778).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santomera vs Santa Cruz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Santa Cruz
Not enough data to predict the Santa Cruz lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Santa Cruz have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alcantarilla(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Santomera win, 0 draws, 1 Santa Cruz win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | Santa Cruz 0-2 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Santomera 0-1 Santa Cruz | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santa Cruz vs Santomera on Feb 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Santa Cruz score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Santa Cruz | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santomera sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (16 points from 6 matches) and Santa Cruz sit 4th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Santa Cruz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 9 |
A question about Santomera vs Santa Cruz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Santa Cruz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Santa Cruz.
- Where and when is Santomera vs Santa Cruz played?
- Santomera vs Santa Cruz is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027Los GarresvsUCAM Murcia II
- Apr 25, 2027Mazarrón FCvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Apr 25, 2027Olímpico TotanavsÁguilas II
- Apr 25, 2027Cartagena LU IIvsEl Palmar
- Apr 25, 2027AlgarvsSFC Minerva
- Apr 25, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsBala Azul
- Apr 25, 2027Bullas DeportivovsUnión Molinense
- Apr 25, 2027San JaviervsAlcantarilla