Cartagena LU II vs El Palmar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, Cartagena
The Footlab model makes Cartagena LU II the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cartagena LU II vs El Palmar?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Cartagena LU II (1,690) and El Palmar (1,643).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cartagena LU II have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; El Palmar have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 2, 2026 | Santomera(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | UD Caravaca(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cartagena LU II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 El Palmar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | El Palmar 0-1 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Cartagena LU II 4-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Cartagena LU II 3-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | El Palmar 1-1 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Cartagena LU II 2-0 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | El Palmar 1-1 Cartagena LU II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: El Palmar vs Cartagena LU II on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cartagena LU II score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; El Palmar score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cartagena LU II | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| El Palmar | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cartagena LU II sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (38 points from 34 matches) and El Palmar sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cartagena LU II | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 39 | 38 |
| 14 | El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 48 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cartagena LU II vs El Palmar?
- The Footlab model makes Cartagena LU II the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for El Palmar.
- Where and when is Cartagena LU II vs El Palmar played?
- Cartagena LU II vs El Palmar is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Escuela de Fútbol Ciudad Jardín, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027Los GarresvsUCAM Murcia II
- Apr 25, 2027Mazarrón FCvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Apr 25, 2027Olímpico TotanavsÁguilas II
- Apr 25, 2027AlgarvsSFC Minerva
- Apr 25, 2027Balsicas AtléticovsBala Azul
- Apr 25, 2027SantomeravsSanta Cruz
- Apr 25, 2027Bullas DeportivovsUnión Molinense
- Apr 25, 2027San JaviervsAlcantarilla