Algeciras vs Alcorcon: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
The Footlab model makes Algeciras the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Alcorcon. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Algeciras vs Alcorcon?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Algeciras (1,890) and Alcorcon (1,898).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algeciras have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Alcorcon have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 1, 2026 | FC Cartagena(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Unionistas de Salamanca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mérida AD(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Getafe II(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sevilla Atletico(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Algeciras win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Alcorcon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Alcorcon 0-0 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Algeciras 1-0 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Algeciras 2-0 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Alcorcon 1-1 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Algeciras 0-0 Alcorcon | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Alcorcon 2-0 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Alcorcon vs Algeciras on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Algeciras score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Alcorcon score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeciras | 0.9 | 1.1 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Alcorcon | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Algeciras sit 8th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (55 points from 38 matches) and Alcorcon sit 11th (51 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Algeciras | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 41 | 55 |
| 11 | Alcorcon | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 44 | 38 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Algeciras vs Alcorcon?
- The Footlab model makes Algeciras the favourite at 44%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Alcorcon.
- Where and when is Algeciras vs Alcorcon played?
- Algeciras vs Alcorcon is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.