Match

Algeciras vs Alcorcon: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras

AlgecirasAlcorcon

The Footlab AI model makes Algeciras the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Alcorcon. The most likely score is 1-1. If Algeciras wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algeciras vs Alcorcon?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Algeciras (1,868) and Alcorcon (1,925).

47%29%24%
Algeciras winDrawAlcorcon win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Algeciras vs Alcorcon

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Algeciras

4-3-3
  1. 18Pau Martínez
  2. 9R. Rubio
  3. 7Juanma García
  1. 20Jony Álamo
  2. 6Óscar Castro
  3. 8Iván Turrillo
  1. 11Tomás Sánchez
  2. 3J. Marquez
  3. 2Fran Carmona
  4. 5Ángel
  1. 1Iván Moreno

Alcorcon

4-3-3
  1. 9Davo
  2. 7E. Aparicio
  3. 11O. Ouhdadi
  1. 10L. Vacas
  2. 6Pablo Rivera
  3. 8T. Caravaca
  1. 17Miguel Cuesta
  2. 5Lancho
  3. 22X. Irurita
  4. 3Arnau Gaixas
  1. 13Miguel Bañuz

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 02:38 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algeciras have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Alcorcon have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algeciras
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Europa Fc(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 26, 2026Juventud Torremolinos(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 20, 2026Águilas(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 11, 2026Gimnastic(away)2-4Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Huesca(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Teruel(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 3, 2026Juventud Torremolinos(home)5-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 27, 2026Real Madrid II(away)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 20, 2026Gimnastic(home)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Algeciras wins, 3 draws, 1 Alcorcon win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Alcorcon 0-0 AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 25, 2025Algeciras 1-0 AlcorconPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 13, 2025Algeciras 2-0 AlcorconPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 24, 2024Alcorcon 1-1 AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 2, 2023Algeciras 0-0 AlcorconPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 19, 2022Alcorcon 2-0 AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Alcorcon vs Algeciras on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Algeciras score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Alcorcon score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Algeciras1.11.749/158/15
Alcorcon1.71.049/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Algeciras sit 15th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (7 points from 7 matches) and Alcorcon sit 6th (12 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Alcorcon733113512
15Algeciras72149137

A question about Algeciras vs Alcorcon?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algeciras vs Alcorcon?
The Footlab AI model makes Algeciras the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Alcorcon.
Where and when is Algeciras vs Alcorcon played?
Algeciras vs Alcorcon is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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