Match

Gimnastic vs Real Murcia: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 38Kick-off on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Costa Daurada, Tarragona

GimnasticReal Murcia

The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Gimnastic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Murcia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,732 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gimnastic vs Real Murcia?

Real Murcia starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,977 vs 1,859).

32%28%40%
Gimnastic winDrawReal Murcia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gimnastic vs Real Murcia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gimnastic

4-3-3
  1. 17Alex Almansa
  2. 12S. Bakış
  3. 20C. Segura
  1. 8Marc Montalvo
  2. 16M. Babanzila
  3. 10Eugeni Valderrama
  1. 23Manel Royo
  2. 22Joseda
  3. 21I. Athuman
  4. 15José Amo
  1. 13Vicent Abril

Real Murcia

4-3-3
  1. 19Joel Jorquera
  2. 23D. Flakus Bosilj
  3. 17Javi Moreno
  1. 8Javi Mier
  2. 14Palmberg
  3. 10Chema Núñez
  1. 2Jorge Mier
  2. 15Óscar Gil
  3. 3Cristo
  4. 4H. Perez
  1. 13Dani Jiménez

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:51 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnastic have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Real Murcia have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gimnastic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Atlético Madrid II(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 10, 2026Juventud Torremolinos(away)2-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Real Murcia(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 26, 2026Sant Andreu(home)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 20, 2026Alcorcon(away)0-3Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Real Murcia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 7, 2026FC Cartagena(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Gimnastic(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 30, 2026Navalcarnero(away)1-3Copa Federacion
Sep 19, 2026Europa Fc(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gimnastic wins, 1 draw, 3 Real Murcia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Real Murcia 2-0 GimnasticPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 11, 2026Gimnastic 2-1 Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 8, 2025Real Murcia 3-2 GimnasticPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Jun 7, 2025Real Murcia 0-1 GimnasticPrimera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2025Gimnastic 1-1 Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Play Offs
Feb 11, 2023Real Murcia 2-0 GimnasticPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Real Murcia vs Gimnastic on Oct 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gimnastic score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gimnastic1.21.529/158/15
Real Murcia1.91.148/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gimnastic sit 15th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (8 points from 7 matches) and Real Murcia sit 4th (15 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Real Murcia750211715
15Gimnastic72239118

A question about Gimnastic vs Real Murcia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gimnastic vs Real Murcia?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Gimnastic.
Where and when is Gimnastic vs Real Murcia played?
Gimnastic vs Real Murcia is played on May 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Costa Daurada, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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