Match

Algeciras vs Real Murcia: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras

AlgecirasReal Murcia

The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Algeciras. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Murcia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,854 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algeciras vs Real Murcia?

A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Algeciras (1,881) and Real Murcia (1,950).

33%29%38%
Algeciras winDrawReal Murcia win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Algeciras vs Real Murcia

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Algeciras

4-3-3
  1. 9R. Rubio
  2. 7Juanma García
  3. 18Pau Martínez
  1. 20Jony Álamo
  2. 19Diego Iglesias
  3. 6Óscar Castro
  1. 3J. Marquez
  2. 4Aleix Coch
  3. 11Tomás Sánchez
  4. 2Fran Carmona
  1. 1Iván Moreno

Real Murcia

4-3-3
  1. 23D. Flakus Bosilj
  2. 17Javi Moreno
  3. 19Joel Jorquera
  1. 8Javi Mier
  2. 14Palmberg
  3. 10Chema Núñez
  1. 3Cristo
  2. 6Alberto González
  3. 2Jorge Mier
  4. 5Joan Rojas
  1. 13Dani Jiménez

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 11:14 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algeciras have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Real Murcia have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algeciras
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2026Real Jaén(away)2-3Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 25, 2026Real Madrid II(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 17, 2026Hércules(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 11, 2026Europa Fc(away)1-2Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 4, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Real Murcia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Antequera(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 24, 2026Juventud Torremolinos(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 18, 2026Zaragoza(home)0-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 11, 2026Rayo Majadahonda(away)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 7, 2026FC Cartagena(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Algeciras wins, 1 draw, 3 Real Murcia wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Real Murcia 0-2 AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Sep 28, 2025Algeciras 1-0 Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
May 24, 2025Real Murcia 2-1 AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 16, 2024Algeciras 1-1 Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 7, 2024Algeciras 0-1 Real MurciaPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 15, 2023Real Murcia 1-0 AlgecirasPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Real Murcia vs Algeciras on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Algeciras score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Real Murcia score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Algeciras1.31.6410/158/15
Real Murcia1.61.057/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Algeciras sit 14th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (13 points from 10 matches) and Real Murcia sit 4th (19 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Real Murcia1061312819
14Algeciras10415151613

A question about Algeciras vs Real Murcia?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algeciras vs Real Murcia?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Algeciras.
Where and when is Algeciras vs Real Murcia played?
Algeciras vs Real Murcia is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Algeciras and Real Murcia

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