Águilas vs Real Jaén: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Rubial, Águilas
The Footlab AI model makes Águilas the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Real Jaén. The most likely score is 1-1. If Águilas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Águilas vs Real Jaén?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Águilas (1,932) and Real Jaén (1,996).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Águilas vs Real Jaén
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Águilas
4-3-3- 11Josema Raigal
- 19G. Serrano Iranzo
- 10Javi Castedo
- 8Mario Abenza
- 6Y. El Arbaoui
- 5A. Perez
- 3José Mas
- 2Johan Terranova
- 4Antonio Sánchez
- 23H. Martinez
- 13Jose Salcedo
Real Jaén
4-3-3- 11Mario Martos
- 9Marco Siverio
- 19M. Keita
- 8Antonio Caballero
- 6Jose Alvarez
- 10Paz Adri
- 21Mohamed Sanhaji
- 3D. Serrano
- 4J. Pol
- 24Alejandro Cea
- 1J. Morillas
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Águilas have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Real Jaén have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hércules(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Águilas wins, 1 draw, 1 Real Jaén win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Real Jaén 3-1 Águilas | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Águilas 1-1 Real Jaén | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Águilas score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Jaén score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águilas | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Jaén | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Águilas sit 17th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (6 points from 8 matches) and Real Jaén sit 5th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Jaén | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 15 |
| 17 | Águilas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 6 |
A question about Águilas vs Real Jaén?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Águilas vs Real Jaén?
- The Footlab AI model makes Águilas the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Real Jaén.
- Where and when is Águilas vs Real Jaén played?
- Águilas vs Real Jaén is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Rubial, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.