FC Cartagena vs Real Madrid II: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 25Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, Cartagena
The Footlab model makes FC Cartagena the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Real Madrid II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Cartagena vs Real Madrid II?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate FC Cartagena (1,854) and Real Madrid II (1,952).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cartagena have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Real Madrid II have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ponferradina(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Cartagena score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid II score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cartagena | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Real Madrid II | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Cartagena | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Cartagena vs Real Madrid II?
- The Footlab model makes FC Cartagena the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Real Madrid II.
- Where and when is FC Cartagena vs Real Madrid II played?
- FC Cartagena vs Real Madrid II is played on February 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.