Algeciras vs Teruel: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras
The Footlab AI model makes Algeciras the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Teruel. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Algeciras vs Teruel?
On Elo ratings, Algeciras has 1,867 points and Teruel 1,837.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Algeciras vs Teruel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Algeciras
4-3-3- 18Pau Martínez
- 9R. Rubio
- 7Juanma García
- 20Jony Álamo
- 6Óscar Castro
- 8Iván Turrillo
- 11Tomás Sánchez
- 3J. Marquez
- 2Fran Carmona
- 5Ángel
- 1Iván Moreno
Teruel
4-3-3- 11Edu Gallardo
- 21Mario Sesè
- 7Sergio Moreno
- 14Relu
- 16Haritz Albisua
- 10Hugo Redón
- 3Joserra
- 15A. Lopez
- 2Andrés Borge
- 6N. Nicholas
- 25A. Zarco
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 06:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algeciras have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Teruel have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Europa Fc(away) | 1-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 2-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Algeciras wins, 1 draw, 1 Teruel win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Algeciras 0-0 Teruel | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Teruel 1-0 Algeciras | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Algeciras score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Teruel score 0.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algeciras | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Teruel | 0.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Algeciras sit 15th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (7 points from 7 matches) and Teruel sit 18th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Algeciras | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 7 |
| 18 | Teruel | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 5 |
A question about Algeciras vs Teruel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Algeciras vs Teruel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Algeciras the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Teruel.
- Where and when is Algeciras vs Teruel played?
- Algeciras vs Teruel is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.