Real Murcia vs Real Jaén: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 16Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Real Jaén. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,931 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Real Jaén?
On Elo ratings, Real Murcia has 1,934 points and Real Jaén 1,959.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Murcia vs Real Jaén
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Murcia
4-3-3- 23D. Flakus Bosilj
- 17Javi Moreno
- 19Joel Jorquera
- 8Javi Mier
- 14Palmberg
- 10Chema Núñez
- 3Cristo
- 6Alberto González
- 2Jorge Mier
- 5Joan Rojas
- 13Dani Jiménez
Real Jaén
4-3-3- 11Mario Martos
- 19M. Keita
- 14C. Polo
- 6Jose Alvarez
- 10Paz Adri
- 18Nacho Castillo
- 21Mohamed Sanhaji
- 3D. Serrano
- 17Javi Moyano
- 20Mauro Cabello
- 1J. Morillas
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 08:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Murcia have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Real Jaén have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Juventud Torremolinos(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 7, 2026 | FC Cartagena(away) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Alcorcon(away) | 3-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 3-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Madrid II(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 3-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Murcia score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Jaén score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Real Jaén | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Murcia sit 4th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (19 points from 10 matches) and Real Jaén sit 3rd (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Real Jaén | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 19 |
| 4 | Real Murcia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
A question about Real Murcia vs Real Jaén?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Murcia vs Real Jaén?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Real Jaén.
- Where and when is Real Murcia vs Real Jaén played?
- Real Murcia vs Real Jaén is played on December 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.