Alianza vs Águila: prediction and stats
Primera DivisionApertura - 19Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Cuscatlán, San Salvador
The Footlab AI model makes Águila the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Alianza. The most likely score is 1-1. If Águila wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,872 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alianza vs Águila?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Alianza (1,636) and Águila (1,667).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alianza vs Águila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alianza
4-3-3- 10L. Menjívar
- 9Gustavo Souza
- 10L. Menjivar
- 7M. Mier
- 6N. Orellana
- 8H. Osorio
- 19N. A. Rodriguez Arias
- 16H. Romero
- 23J. Monteagudo
- 3J. Sibrián
- 13M. González
Águila
Not enough data to predict the Águila lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 09:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alianza have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Águila have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cacahuatique(away) | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | FAS(away) | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Firpo(home) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Platense(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atletico Balboa(away) | 2-2 | Primera Division |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Isidro Metapán(home) | 3-0 | Primera Division |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cacahuatique(home) | 4-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Inter(home) | 2-1 | Primera Division |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Firpo(away) | 0-2 | Primera Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Alianza win, 1 draw, 4 Águila wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Águila 2-2 Alianza | Primera Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Alianza 0-2 Águila | Primera Division |
| May 6, 2026 | Águila 2-1 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Alianza 0-2 Águila | Primera Division |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Águila 0-3 Alianza | Primera Division |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Alianza 0-1 Águila | Primera Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Alianza score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Águila score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Águila | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alianza sit 6th in Primera Division (20 points from 15 matches) and Águila sit 4th (23 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Águila | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 23 |
| 6 | Alianza | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
A question about Alianza vs Águila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alianza vs Águila?
- The Footlab AI model makes Águila the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Alianza.
- Where and when is Alianza vs Águila played?
- Alianza vs Águila is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Cuscatlán, in the Primera Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.