Cove Rangers vs East Fife: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Balmoral Stadium, Aberdeen
The Footlab model makes Cove Rangers the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for East Fife. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cove Rangers vs East Fife?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Cove Rangers (1,564) and East Fife (1,544).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cove Rangers have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; East Fife have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Dundee United II(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 2-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | St. Mirren U21(home) | 2-5 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Spartans(home) | 2-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 2-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cove Rangers win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 East Fife win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Fife 2-0 Cove Rangers | League One |
| May 2, 2026 | Cove Rangers 0-0 East Fife | League One |
| Feb 14, 2026 | East Fife 2-1 Cove Rangers | League One |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Cove Rangers 0-1 East Fife | League One |
| Oct 4, 2025 | East Fife 2-0 Cove Rangers | League One |
| Apr 30, 2022 | East Fife 2-3 Cove Rangers | League One |
Last archived meeting: East Fife vs Cove Rangers on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cove Rangers score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; East Fife score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cove Rangers | 1.3 | 2.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| East Fife | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cove Rangers sit 7th in League One (4 points from 4 matches) and East Fife sit 6th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | East Fife | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Cove Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cove Rangers vs East Fife?
- The Footlab model makes Cove Rangers the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for East Fife.
- Where and when is Cove Rangers vs East Fife played?
- Cove Rangers vs East Fife is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balmoral Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.