East Kilbride vs Airdrie United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)K Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Airdrie United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win East Kilbride vs Airdrie United?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate East Kilbride (1,718) and Airdrie United (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Kilbride have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Airdrie United have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Cowdenbeath(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 5-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Stirling Albion(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 0-4 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Dumbarton(away) | 3-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 East Kilbride win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Airdrie United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Airdrie United 1-1 East Kilbride | League One |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Airdrie United 1-1 East Kilbride | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 16, 2024 | Airdrie United 8-0 East Kilbride | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Airdrie United vs East Kilbride on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
East Kilbride score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Airdrie United score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Kilbride | 2.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Airdrie United | 1.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
East Kilbride sit 3rd in League One (7 points from 4 matches) and Airdrie United sit 9th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | East Kilbride | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Airdrie United | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for East Kilbride vs Airdrie United?
- The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Airdrie United.
- Where and when is East Kilbride vs Airdrie United played?
- East Kilbride vs Airdrie United is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at K Park Training Academy, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.