Peterhead vs Queen of the South: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Balmoor Stadium, Peterhead
The Footlab model makes Queen of the South the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Peterhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peterhead vs Queen of the South?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Peterhead (1,588) and Queen of the South (1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peterhead have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Queen of the South have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Fife(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 5-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Hibernian U21(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 4-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-5 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Peterhead win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Queen of the South win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen of the South 0-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Peterhead 1-1 Queen of the South | League One |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Queen of the South 0-2 Peterhead | League One |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Peterhead 3-0 Queen of the South | League One |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Queen of the South 4-0 Peterhead | League One |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Queen of the South 2-1 Peterhead | League One |
Last archived meeting: Queen of the South vs Peterhead on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Peterhead score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Queen of the South score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterhead | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Queen of the South | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peterhead sit 5th in League One (6 points from 4 matches) and Queen of the South sit 10th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Peterhead | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peterhead vs Queen of the South?
- The Footlab model makes Queen of the South the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Peterhead.
- Where and when is Peterhead vs Queen of the South played?
- Peterhead vs Queen of the South is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balmoor Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.