Almere City FC vs NAC Breda: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Yanmar Stadion, Almere
The Footlab model makes Almere City FC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for NAC Breda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almere City FC vs NAC Breda?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Almere City FC (1,761) and NAC Breda (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almere City FC have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; NAC Breda have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vitesse(away) | 3-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Den Bosch(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Emmen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC OSS(home) | 8-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | FC OSS(away) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bolton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | OFI(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Almere City FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 NAC Breda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | Almere City FC 1-1 NAC Breda | Eredivisie |
| Nov 30, 2024 | NAC Breda 1-0 Almere City FC | Eredivisie |
| May 7, 2023 | Almere City FC 0-2 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 16, 2022 | NAC Breda 0-1 Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Almere City FC 1-2 NAC Breda | Eerste Divisie |
| Dec 10, 2021 | NAC Breda 1-1 Almere City FC | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Almere City FC vs NAC Breda on Mar 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Almere City FC score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; NAC Breda score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almere City FC | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| NAC Breda | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almere City FC sit 4th in Eerste Divisie (7 points from 3 matches) and NAC Breda sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Almere City FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | NAC Breda | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almere City FC vs NAC Breda?
- The Footlab model makes Almere City FC the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for NAC Breda.
- Where and when is Almere City FC vs NAC Breda played?
- Almere City FC vs NAC Breda is played on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Yanmar Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.