Vitesse vs Jong AZ: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)GelreDome, Arnhem
The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Jong AZ. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vitesse wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitesse vs Jong AZ?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Vitesse (1,714) and Jong AZ (1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitesse vs Jong AZ
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitesse
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bannis
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 33M. Marschalk
- 16P. Dahbo
- 17V. Zumberi
- 55M. Steffen
- 22Xiamaro Thenu
- 24N. Markelo
- 1C. van den Berg
Jong AZ
4-2-3-1- 9Jerolldino Armantrading
- 8J. Oerip
- 6R. Robbemond
- 10H. de Wit
- 11T. de Wit
- 7K. Toppenberg
- 2J. Zwart
- 3A. Natali
- 5K. Inge
- 4F. Andersen
- 1K. Zeggen
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:21 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitesse have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Jong AZ have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 4-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(away) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 6-3 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Vitesse wins, 1 draw, 1 Jong AZ win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Vitesse 2-0 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Jong AZ 4-0 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Vitesse 2-2 Jong AZ | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Jong AZ 0-1 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Jong AZ score 2.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Jong AZ | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitesse sit 10th in Eerste Divisie (14 points from 10 matches) and Jong AZ sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Jong AZ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 13 |
A question about Vitesse vs Jong AZ?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitesse vs Jong AZ?
- The Footlab AI model makes Vitesse the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Jong AZ.
- Where and when is Vitesse vs Jong AZ played?
- Vitesse vs Jong AZ is played on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at GelreDome, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.