Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)GS Staalwerken Stadion, Helmond
The Footlab model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Helmond Sport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Helmond Sport (1,582) and Dordrecht (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Helmond Sport have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Dordrecht have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Roda(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Gemert(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Roda(home) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Al Khaleej Saihat(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Helmond Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Dordrecht win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | Dordrecht 3-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Helmond Sport 1-2 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Helmond Sport 0-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Dordrecht 4-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 12, 2024 | Dordrecht 2-0 Helmond Sport | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 23, 2023 | Helmond Sport 1-1 Dordrecht | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Dordrecht vs Helmond Sport on Feb 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Helmond Sport score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dordrecht score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Dordrecht | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Helmond Sport sit 16th in Eerste Divisie (2 points from 3 matches) and Dordrecht sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Helmond Sport | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht?
- The Footlab model makes Dordrecht the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Helmond Sport.
- Where and when is Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht played?
- Helmond Sport vs Dordrecht is played on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at GS Staalwerken Stadion, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.