Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stadion De Vliert, 's-Hertogenbosch
The Footlab model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for VVV Venlo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Den Bosch (1,686) and VVV Venlo (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Den Bosch have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; VVV Venlo have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 5-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 2-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Almere City FC(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Al-Fayha(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lusail City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | De Graafschap(home) | 2-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Heracles(home) | 3-4 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Den Bosch win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 VVV Venlo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2025 | Den Bosch 0-1 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 30, 2025 | VVV Venlo 0-1 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Den Bosch 0-0 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 25, 2024 | VVV Venlo 1-2 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 26, 2024 | VVV Venlo 2-3 Den Bosch | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Den Bosch 1-2 VVV Venlo | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo on Dec 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Den Bosch score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; VVV Venlo score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Den Bosch | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| VVV Venlo | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Den Bosch sit 8th in Eerste Divisie (4 points from 3 matches) and VVV Venlo sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | VVV Venlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | VVV Venlo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo?
- The Footlab model makes Den Bosch the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for VVV Venlo.
- Where and when is Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo played?
- Den Bosch vs VVV Venlo is played on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion De Vliert, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.