Heracles vs Jong PSV U21: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Erve Asito, Almelo
The Footlab model makes Heracles the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Jong PSV U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heracles vs Jong PSV U21?
Heracles starts as the favourite with a 255-point Elo edge (1,792 vs 1,537).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heracles have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Jong PSV U21 have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Den Bosch(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 7, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 4-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Excelsior(home) | 3-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Groningen(home) | 1-2 | Eredivisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 1-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Almere City FC(away) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 10, 2026 | FC Volendam(home) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 18, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Waalwijk(away) | 1-4 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Heracles win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Jong PSV U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2023 | Heracles 3-0 Jong PSV U21 | Eerste Divisie |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Jong PSV U21 0-3 Heracles | Eerste Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Heracles vs Jong PSV U21 on Apr 28, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Heracles score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Jong PSV U21 score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Jong PSV U21 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heracles sit 4th in Eerste Divisie (6 points from 2 matches) and Jong PSV U21 sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Heracles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Heracles | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | Jong PSV U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heracles vs Jong PSV U21?
- The Footlab model makes Heracles the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Jong PSV U21.
- Where and when is Heracles vs Jong PSV U21 played?
- Heracles vs Jong PSV U21 is played on November 20, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Erve Asito, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.