Match

Almería II vs Motril: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 · Matchday 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, Almería

Almería IIMotril

The Footlab AI model makes Almería II the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Motril. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almería II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almería II vs Motril?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Almería II (1,872) and Motril (1,915).

42%30%28%
Almería II winDrawMotril win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Almería II vs Motril

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Almería II

4-3-3
  1. 7Luis Lara
  2. 35Lorenzo Sánchez
  3. MMarçal Casadevall Sánchez
  1. 37Joan Gázquez Llanes
  2. 21Antonio Jesús
  3. HHugo Martin
  1. RRené Pérez
  2. 26Paco Sanz
  3. 29Nacho Vila
  4. EEdu Pla
  1. 31Bruno Iribarne

Motril

Not enough data to predict the Motril lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:34 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almería II have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Motril have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almería II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Motril(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 1, 2026Churriana Vega(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026Atletico de Marbella(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Granada II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Málaga II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Motril
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Almería II(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 1, 2026Granada II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026Málaga II(home)2-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Cantoria(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Atlético Porcuna(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Almería II wins, 3 draws, 1 Motril win.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Motril 0-0 Almería IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 7, 2024Almería II 1-0 MotrilTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 19, 2023Motril 1-1 Almería IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 2, 2023Motril 2-1 Almería IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 8, 2022Almería II 0-0 MotrilTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 3, 2022Almería II 3-0 MotrilTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Motril vs Almería II on Nov 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almería II score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Motril score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Almería II1.31.158/156/15
Motril1.11.058/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almería II sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (19 points from 10 matches) and Motril sit 6th (17 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Almería II1054114619
6Motril10451141017

A question about Almería II vs Motril?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almería II vs Motril?
The Footlab AI model makes Almería II the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Motril.
Where and when is Almería II vs Motril played?
Almería II vs Motril is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Almería II and Motril