Where and when is Almería II vs Motril played?

Almería II vs Motril is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Almería II vs Motril: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, Almería

Almería II

Motril

The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Motril. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almería II vs Motril?

A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Almería II (1,755) and Motril (1,854).

Almería II win36 %

Draw30 %

Motril win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almería II have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Motril have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almería II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Águilas(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Deportiva Minera(home)	3-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Yeclano(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 11, 2026	Estepona(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Lorca Deportiva(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Motril
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2026	Arenas Armilla(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 31, 2026	Arenas Armilla(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 24, 2026	Churriana Vega(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026	Churriana Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026	Atlético Porcuna(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Almería II win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Motril win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 7, 2024	Almería II 1-0 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 19, 2023	Motril 1-1 Almería II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 2, 2023	Motril 2-1 Almería II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 8, 2022	Almería II 0-0 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 3, 2022	Almería II 3-0 Motril	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 5, 2021	Motril 1-1 Almería II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Almería II vs Motril on Apr 7, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Motril score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Almería II	0.9	1.7	0	9/15	6/15
Motril	1.2	0.8	6	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Motril	34	18	11	5	55	29	65

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almería II vs Motril?: The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Motril.
Where and when is Almería II vs Motril played?: Almería II vs Motril is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.