Málaga II vs Marbelli: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 27Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, Málaga
The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Marbelli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Málaga II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,640 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Málaga II vs Marbelli?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Málaga II (1,803) and Marbelli (1,801).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Málaga II vs Marbelli
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Málaga II
4-3-3- JJuani
- JJuanma Hernández
- RRubén Sánchez
- 32Rafael Garrido
- 44Jesús Martin
- AAlejandro Valcarce
- 38Pablo Arriaza
- 32Miguel Ángel
- ÁÁngel Recio
- IIván Benito Mancera
- 30Andrés Céspedes
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Málaga II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Marbelli have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Almería II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Granada II(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Málaga II win, 1 draw, 0 Marbelli wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | Málaga II 0-0 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Marbelli 1-2 Málaga II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Málaga II vs Marbelli on Mar 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Málaga II score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Málaga II | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Marbelli | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Málaga II sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (10 points from 6 matches) and Marbelli sit 4th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Marbelli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Málaga II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Málaga II vs Marbelli?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Málaga II vs Marbelli?
- The Footlab AI model makes Málaga II the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for Marbelli.
- Where and when is Málaga II vs Marbelli played?
- Málaga II vs Marbelli is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de la Federación Malagueña de Fútbol, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 7, 2027Atlético PorcunavsMancha Real
- Mar 7, 2027Granada IIvsMelilla
- Mar 7, 2027Almería IIvsMotril
- Mar 7, 2027AlhaurinovsHuétor Vega
- Mar 7, 2027UD San PedrovsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Mar 7, 2027Malaga CityvsTorre del Mar
- Mar 7, 2027Atletico de MarbellavsChurriana Vega
- Mar 7, 2027CantoriavsArenas Armilla