Match

Melilla vs Almería II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Álvarez Claro, Melilla

MelillaAlmería II

The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 64%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Almería II. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Melilla vs Almería II?

On Elo ratings, Melilla has 1,857 points and Almería II 1,808.

64%24%12%
Melilla winDrawAlmería II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Melilla vs Almería II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Melilla

4-3-3
  1. 10Víctor Morillo
  2. 21Carlos Bravo
  3. BB. Kavtaradze
  1. AAdrián Tovar
  2. 19Armando
  3. 19Iván Ramos
  1. 4Manuel Galán
  2. 3Fran Varela
  3. 3Lolo González
  4. DDiego Ceballos
  1. EEdua Loscos

Almería II

4-3-3
  1. 7Luis Lara
  2. 35Lorenzo Sánchez
  3. MMarçal Casadevall Sánchez
  1. 37Joan Gázquez Llanes
  2. 21Antonio Jesús
  3. HHugo Martin
  1. RRené Pérez
  2. 26Paco Sanz
  3. 29Nacho Vila
  4. EEdu Pla
  1. 31Bruno Iribarne

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 04:29 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melilla have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Almería II have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Melilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Cantoria(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026UD San Pedro(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Alhaurino(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Malaga City(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Almería II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Atletico de Marbella(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Granada II(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Málaga II(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 4, 2026Cantoria(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 27, 2026Atlético Porcuna(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Melilla win, 1 draw, 0 Almería II wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Melilla 3-0 Almería IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 14, 2025Almería II 1-1 MelillaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Melilla vs Almería II on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Melilla score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Almería II score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Melilla1.61.156/157/15
Almería II1.31.338/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Melilla sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (21 points from 8 matches) and Almería II sit 3rd (17 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Melilla870115521
3Almería II852114617

A question about Melilla vs Almería II?

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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Melilla vs Almería II?
The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 64%, against 24% for a draw and 12% for Almería II.
Where and when is Melilla vs Almería II played?
Melilla vs Almería II is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Álvarez Claro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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