Match

Almería II vs UD San Pedro: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, Almería

Almería IIUD San Pedro

The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for UD San Pedro. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almería II vs UD San Pedro?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Almería II (1,755) and UD San Pedro (1,741).

Almería II win46 %
Draw29 %
UD San Pedro win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almería II have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; UD San Pedro have 5, 8 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almería II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Águilas(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026Deportiva Minera(home)3-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026Yeclano(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 11, 2026Estepona(home)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Lorca Deportiva(home)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
UD San Pedro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Arenas Armilla(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026Churriana Vega(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Torreperogil(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026Torre del Mar(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Almería II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 UD San Pedro win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 13, 2022UD San Pedro 1-3 Almería IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 14, 2021Almería II 0-0 UD San PedroTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: UD San Pedro vs Almería II on Mar 13, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; UD San Pedro score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Almería II0.91.709/156/15
UD San Pedro1.10.969/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8UD San Pedro34131011393749

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almería II vs UD San Pedro?
The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for UD San Pedro.
Where and when is Almería II vs UD San Pedro played?
Almería II vs UD San Pedro is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Almería II and UD San Pedro

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