Almería II vs UD San Pedro: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, Almería
The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for UD San Pedro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almería II vs UD San Pedro?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Almería II (1,755) and UD San Pedro (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almería II have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; UD San Pedro have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 3-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Churriana Vega(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Torreperogil(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Almería II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 UD San Pedro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | UD San Pedro 1-3 Almería II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Almería II 0-0 UD San Pedro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: UD San Pedro vs Almería II on Mar 13, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; UD San Pedro score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almería II | 0.9 | 1.7 | 0 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| UD San Pedro | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almería II vs UD San Pedro?
- The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 25% for UD San Pedro.
- Where and when is Almería II vs UD San Pedro played?
- Almería II vs UD San Pedro is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027MelillavsTorre del Mar
- Jan 17, 2027Granada IIvsAtlético Porcuna
- Jan 17, 2027Mancha RealvsAtletico de Marbella
- Jan 17, 2027MotrilvsMalaga City
- Jan 17, 2027Málaga IIvsCantoria
- Jan 17, 2027Arenas ArmillavsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Jan 17, 2027MarbellivsHuétor Vega
- Jan 17, 2027Churriana VegavsAlhaurino