Arenas Armilla vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal, Armilla
The Footlab model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Ciudad de Torredonjimeno. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arenas Armilla vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Arenas Armilla (1,787) and Ciudad de Torredonjimeno (1,727).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Armilla have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Ciudad de Torredonjimeno have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 2-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Motril(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 31, 2026 | Motril(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 24, 2026 | Torre del Mar(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Marbelli(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Churriana Vega(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Torreperogil(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arenas Armilla win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 1-0 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Arenas Armilla 0-2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Arenas Armilla 1-1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 1-0 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Arenas Armilla 2-1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 0-2 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Arenas Armilla on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arenas Armilla score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Torredonjimeno score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arenas Armilla | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arenas Armilla sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (54 points from 34 matches) and Ciudad de Torredonjimeno sit 7th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 29 | 54 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arenas Armilla vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno?
- The Footlab model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Ciudad de Torredonjimeno.
- Where and when is Arenas Armilla vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno played?
- Arenas Armilla vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.