Melilla vs Torre del Mar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Álvarez Claro, Melilla
The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Torre del Mar. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melilla vs Torre del Mar?
On Elo ratings, Melilla has 1,850 points and Torre del Mar 1,792.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Melilla vs Torre del Mar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Melilla
4-3-3- 10Víctor Morillo
- 21Carlos Bravo
- BB. Kavtaradze
- AAdrián Tovar
- 19Armando
- 19Iván Ramos
- 4Manuel Galán
- 3Fran Varela
- 3Lolo González
- DDiego Ceballos
- EEdua Loscos
Torre del Mar
Not enough data to predict the Torre del Mar lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melilla have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Torre del Mar have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | UD San Pedro(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alhaurino(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Malaga City(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Torre del Mar(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mancha Real(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Marbelli(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Melilla(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Motril(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Melilla win, 0 draws, 0 Torre del Mar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Torre del Mar 1-2 Melilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Torre del Mar vs Melilla on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Melilla score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melilla | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Torre del Mar | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Melilla sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (18 points from 6 matches) and Torre del Mar sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 11 | Torre del Mar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
A question about Melilla vs Torre del Mar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melilla vs Torre del Mar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Melilla the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Torre del Mar.
- Where and when is Melilla vs Torre del Mar played?
- Melilla vs Torre del Mar is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Álvarez Claro, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027Granada IIvsAtlético Porcuna
- Jan 17, 2027Almería IIvsUD San Pedro
- Jan 17, 2027Mancha RealvsAtletico de Marbella
- Jan 17, 2027MotrilvsMalaga City
- Jan 17, 2027Málaga IIvsCantoria
- Jan 17, 2027Arenas ArmillavsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Jan 17, 2027MarbellivsHuétor Vega
- Jan 17, 2027Churriana VegavsAlhaurino