Marbelli vs Huétor Vega: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Pedro de Alcántara
The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Huétor Vega. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marbelli vs Huétor Vega?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Marbelli (1,774) and Huétor Vega (1,743).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marbelli vs Huétor Vega
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Huétor Vega
Not enough data to predict the Huétor Vega lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbelli have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Huétor Vega have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cantoria(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Marbelli wins, 1 draw, 1 Huétor Vega win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Huétor Vega 1-3 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Huétor Vega 1-1 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Marbelli 2-0 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 11, 2025 | Huétor Vega 3-0 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Marbelli 1-0 Huétor Vega | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Huétor Vega vs Marbelli on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbelli | 1.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Huétor Vega | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marbelli sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (15 points from 9 matches) and Huétor Vega sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Marbelli | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| 12 | Huétor Vega | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Marbelli vs Huétor Vega?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marbelli vs Huétor Vega?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Huétor Vega.
- Where and when is Marbelli vs Huétor Vega played?
- Marbelli vs Huétor Vega is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027MelillavsTorre del Mar
- Jan 17, 2027Granada IIvsAtlético Porcuna
- Jan 17, 2027Almería IIvsUD San Pedro
- Jan 17, 2027Mancha RealvsAtletico de Marbella
- Jan 17, 2027MotrilvsMalaga City
- Jan 17, 2027Málaga IIvsCantoria
- Jan 17, 2027Arenas ArmillavsCiudad de Torredonjimeno
- Jan 17, 2027Churriana VegavsAlhaurino