Where and when is Marbelli vs Huétor Vega played?

Marbelli vs Huétor Vega is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marbelli vs Huétor Vega: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 20Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Pedro de Alcántara

Marbelli

Huétor Vega

The Footlab model makes Marbelli the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Huétor Vega. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marbelli vs Huétor Vega?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Marbelli (1,777) and Huétor Vega (1,759).

Marbelli win47 %

Draw29 %

Huétor Vega win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbelli have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Huétor Vega have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marbelli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Granada II(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Huétor Vega(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Huétor Tájar(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026	UD Melilla II(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Huétor Vega
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Martos(home)	4-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Mijas Las Lagunas(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Marbelli(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Mancha Real(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026	Arenas Armilla(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Marbelli win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Huétor Vega win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	Huétor Vega 1-1 Marbelli	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 21, 2025	Marbelli 2-0 Huétor Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 11, 2025	Huétor Vega 3-0 Marbelli	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Jan 12, 2025	Marbelli 1-0 Huétor Vega	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Huétor Vega vs Marbelli on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marbelli score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Huétor Vega score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marbelli	0.9	0.7	7	6/15	4/15
Huétor Vega	1.5	1.3	2	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marbelli sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (51 points from 34 matches) and Huétor Vega sit 10th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Marbelli	34	14	9	11	36	28	51
10	Huétor Vega	34	12	9	13	43	42	45

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marbelli vs Huétor Vega?: The Footlab model makes Marbelli the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Huétor Vega.
Where and when is Marbelli vs Huétor Vega played?: Marbelli vs Huétor Vega is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.