Altay vs Denizli İYG: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir
The Footlab model makes Denizli İYG the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Altay. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Altay vs Denizli İYG?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Altay (1,484) and Denizli İYG (1,566).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altay have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Denizli İYG have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Afjet Afyonspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | İzmir Çoruhlu FK(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Anadolu Üniversitesi(away) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(away) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Anadolu Üniversitesi(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kütahyaspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 0-5 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Altay win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Denizli İYG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Altay 1-0 Denizli İYG | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Denizli İYG 2-1 Altay | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Altay score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Denizli İYG score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altay | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Denizli İYG | 1.1 | 1.0 | 8 | 2/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Altay vs Denizli İYG?
- The Footlab model makes Denizli İYG the favourite at 38%, against 32% for a draw and 29% for Altay.
- Where and when is Altay vs Denizli İYG played?
- Altay vs Denizli İYG is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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