Balıkesirspor vs Bucaspor 1928: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, Balıkesir
The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Bucaspor 1928. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balıkesirspor vs Bucaspor 1928?
Balıkesirspor starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,663 vs 1,539).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balıkesirspor have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Bucaspor 1928 have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 4-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Denizli İYG(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Ankaragücü(away) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Balıkesirspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Bucaspor 1928 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | Balıkesirspor 0-3 Bucaspor 1928 | 2. Lig |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Bucaspor 1928 2-0 Balıkesirspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Balıkesirspor vs Bucaspor 1928 on Apr 2, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bucaspor 1928 score 0.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balıkesirspor | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bucaspor 1928 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balıkesirspor vs Bucaspor 1928?
- The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 57%, against 25% for a draw and 19% for Bucaspor 1928.
- Where and when is Balıkesirspor vs Bucaspor 1928 played?
- Balıkesirspor vs Bucaspor 1928 is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.