Akşehirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Akşehir Nasreddin Hoca Stadı, Akşehir
The Footlab model makes Akşehirspor the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Nilüfer Belediye. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Akşehirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Akşehirspor (1,558) and Nilüfer Belediye (1,545).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Akşehirspor have 0 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Nilüfer Belediye have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2019 | Somaspor(away) | 1-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kestel Çilek(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Silivrispor(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kartal Bulvarspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Akşehirspor score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 1; Nilüfer Belediye score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akşehirspor | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/1 |
| Nilüfer Belediye | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Akşehirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye?
- The Footlab model makes Akşehirspor the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Nilüfer Belediye.
- Where and when is Akşehirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye played?
- Akşehirspor vs Nilüfer Belediye is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Akşehir Nasreddin Hoca Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.