Match

Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, İzmir

AltayNilüfer Belediye

The Footlab model makes Altay the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Nilüfer Belediye. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye?

A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Altay (1,484) and Nilüfer Belediye (1,544).

Altay win38 %
Draw28 %
Nilüfer Belediye win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Altay have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Nilüfer Belediye have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Altay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Afjet Afyonspor(home)2-03. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026İzmir Çoruhlu FK(home)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026Anadolu Üniversitesi(away)0-33. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026Alanya 1221 FK(home)0-03. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026Balıkesirspor(away)0-33. Lig - Group 4
Nilüfer Belediye
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kestel Çilek(home)3-13. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Silivrispor(away)2-13. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026Kartal Bulvarspor(home)2-13. Lig - Group 1
Mar 28, 2026Küçükçekmece Sinopspor(away)0-33. Lig - Group 1
Mar 24, 2026Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)3-23. Lig - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Altay score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nilüfer Belediye score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Altay0.81.746/158/15
Nilüfer Belediye1.51.4310/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye?
The Footlab model makes Altay the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Nilüfer Belediye.
Where and when is Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye played?
Altay vs Nilüfer Belediye is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Alsancak Mustafa Denizli Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Altay and Nilüfer Belediye

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