Balıkesirspor vs Uşak Spor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, Balıkesir
The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Uşak Spor. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balıkesirspor vs Uşak Spor?
Balıkesirspor starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,663 vs 1,505).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balıkesirspor have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Uşak Spor have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bornova 1877(away) | 4-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Denizli İYG(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | İzmir Çoruhlu FK(away) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Anadolu Üniversitesi(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Alanya 1221 FK(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Balıkesirspor(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Kütahyaspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Balıkesirspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Uşak Spor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Uşak Spor 0-2 Balıkesirspor | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Balıkesirspor 3-1 Uşak Spor | 3. Lig - Group 4 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Balıkesirspor 2-0 Uşak Spor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Uşak Spor 0-2 Balıkesirspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Uşak Spor 2-0 Balıkesirspor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Balıkesirspor 0-1 Uşak Spor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Uşak Spor vs Balıkesirspor on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Uşak Spor score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balıkesirspor | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Uşak Spor | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balıkesirspor vs Uşak Spor?
- The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Uşak Spor.
- Where and when is Balıkesirspor vs Uşak Spor played?
- Balıkesirspor vs Uşak Spor is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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