Match

Balıkesirspor vs Uşak Spor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, Balıkesir

BalıkesirsporUşak Spor

The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Uşak Spor. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Balıkesirspor vs Uşak Spor?

Balıkesirspor starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,663 vs 1,505).

Balıkesirspor win62 %
Draw24 %
Uşak Spor win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balıkesirspor have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Uşak Spor have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Balıkesirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 28, 2026Eskişehirspor(away)0-33. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 24, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)2-13. Lig - Play-offs
Apr 18, 2026Bornova 1877(away)4-13. Lig - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026Eskişehirspor(home)1-13. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Denizli İYG(away)1-03. Lig - Group 4
Uşak Spor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026İzmir Çoruhlu FK(away)1-33. Lig - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026Anadolu Üniversitesi(home)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 29, 2026Alanya 1221 FK(away)0-13. Lig - Group 4
Mar 25, 2026Balıkesirspor(home)0-23. Lig - Group 4
Mar 15, 2026Kütahyaspor(away)1-13. Lig - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Balıkesirspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Uşak Spor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 25, 2026Uşak Spor 0-2 Balıkesirspor3. Lig - Group 4
Nov 30, 2025Balıkesirspor 3-1 Uşak Spor3. Lig - Group 4
Jan 25, 2025Balıkesirspor 2-0 Uşak Spor3. Lig - Group 2
Sep 15, 2024Uşak Spor 0-2 Balıkesirspor3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 9, 2023Uşak Spor 2-0 Balıkesirspor2. Lig
Oct 30, 2022Balıkesirspor 0-1 Uşak Spor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Uşak Spor vs Balıkesirspor on Mar 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Balıkesirspor score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Uşak Spor score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Balıkesirspor1.90.967/159/15
Uşak Spor0.91.264/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Balıkesirspor vs Uşak Spor?
The Footlab model makes Balıkesirspor the favourite at 62%, against 24% for a draw and 14% for Uşak Spor.
Where and when is Balıkesirspor vs Uşak Spor played?
Balıkesirspor vs Uşak Spor is played on September 20, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balıkesir Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Balıkesirspor and Uşak Spor

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