Where and when is Alvechurch vs Anstey Nomads played?

Alvechurch vs Anstey Nomads is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Alvechurch vs Anstey Nomads: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Lye Meadow, Alvechurch, Worcestershire

Alvechurch

Anstey Nomads

The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Alvechurch. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alvechurch vs Anstey Nomads?

Anstey Nomads starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,922 vs 1,773).

Alvechurch win27 %

Draw25 %

Anstey Nomads win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alvechurch have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Anstey Nomads have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alvechurch
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bishop's Stortford(away)	3-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Needham Market(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026	Worcester City(home)	3-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Kettering Town(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 28, 2026	Kidderminster Harriers(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs

Anstey Nomads
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Leighton Town(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Bromsgrove Sporting(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026	Leamington(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Leiston(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026	Wellingborough Town(home)	1-0	Non League Div One - Northern Midlands

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Alvechurch win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Anstey Nomads win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 31, 2024	Anstey Nomads 3-1 Alvechurch	FA Cup
Oct 7, 2023	Anstey Nomads 0-1 Alvechurch	FA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Anstey Nomads vs Alvechurch on Aug 31, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Alvechurch score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Anstey Nomads score 2.4 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Alvechurch	1.4	0.9	4	9/15	6/15
Anstey Nomads	2.4	0.6	7	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alvechurch sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (6 points from 3 matches) and Anstey Nomads sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Alvechurch	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
15	Anstey Nomads	2	0	2	0	2	2	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alvechurch vs Anstey Nomads?: The Footlab model makes Anstey Nomads the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Alvechurch.
Where and when is Alvechurch vs Anstey Nomads played?: Alvechurch vs Anstey Nomads is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Lye Meadow, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.