Match

Needham Market vs Leighton Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, Needham Market, Suffolk

Needham MarketLeighton Town

The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Needham Market. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Needham Market vs Leighton Town?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Needham Market (1,768) and Leighton Town (1,845).

Needham Market win33 %
Draw26 %
Leighton Town win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Needham Market have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Leighton Town have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Needham Market
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Halesowen Town(home)0-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Alvechurch(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Hitchin Town(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Bromsgrove Sporting(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026Banbury United(home)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Leighton Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Anstey Nomads(away)0-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Worcester City(home)2-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Kettering Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Redditch United(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026London Lions(home)5-0Non League Div One - Southern Central

How many goals should we expect?

Needham Market score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Needham Market1.41.338/158/15
Leighton Town2.30.785/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Needham Market sit 14th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Leighton Town sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Leighton Town3120435
14Needham Market3102463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Needham Market vs Leighton Town?
The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Needham Market.
Where and when is Needham Market vs Leighton Town played?
Needham Market vs Leighton Town is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ecologic Stadium at Bloomfields, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Needham Market and Leighton Town

Ready to know everything about football?