Match

Hitchin Town vs Bury Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Top Field, Hitchin, Hertfordshire

Hitchin TownBury Town

The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hitchin Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hitchin Town vs Bury Town?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Hitchin Town (1,763) and Bury Town (1,848).

Hitchin Town win34 %
Draw26 %
Bury Town win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hitchin Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hitchin Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Racing Club Warwick(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Redditch United(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Needham Market(home)1-3Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Rushall Olympic(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern Central
Jul 11, 2026Luton(home)0-5Friendlies Clubs
Bury Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leamington(home)3-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026Stratford Town(away)3-1Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026Stamford(away)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026Halesowen Town(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026AFC Sudbury(home)3-3Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Hitchin Town score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hitchin Town1.21.365/157/15
Bury Town1.91.168/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hitchin Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (1 points from 3 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Bury Town3300519
18Hitchin Town3012361

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hitchin Town vs Bury Town?
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hitchin Town.
Where and when is Hitchin Town vs Bury Town played?
Hitchin Town vs Bury Town is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Top Field, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hitchin Town and Bury Town

Ready to know everything about football?